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<Research>Macquarie Axes CHOW TAI FOOK TP to HKD12.9, Lowers Earnings Forecasts; Outperform Reiterated
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Positive
13
Negative
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CHOW TAI FOOK (01929.HK) expected revenue for FY2027 to record MSD-HSD growth, with SSSG in Mainland China/ Hong Kong/ Macau expected to range from HSD-LDD growth, respectively, Macquarie said in its report.

The group expected gross margin for FY2027 to normalize to 26.5-27.5%, compared with 32.3% for FY2026. The broker believed the group’s operating margin guidance of 14% for FY2027, vs 20% in FY2026, implies upside.

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In response to gold price adjustments, the broker lowered its net profit forecasts for FY2027 and FY2028 by 10.6% and 11.9%, respectively. The TP was axed by 35% from HKD19 to HKD12.9, while the Outperform rating was maintained. In addition, a solid payout ratio of 70-80% should provide support.
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